Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2115.730020 2299.050184 2485.143374 2687.900859 2902.296187 3121.962060 3363.745855
2025-02-23 1829.817716 2103.247937 2391.667909 2717.414213 3073.922400 3451.103216 3879.170763
2025-03-02 1628.070246 1952.480891 2304.598058 2712.810109 3170.624386 3665.895802 4239.817322
2025-03-09 1503.208134 1867.912463 2273.241360 2753.215231 3302.106854 3906.377430 4617.976108
2025-03-16 1363.901978 1752.879773 2194.901464 2728.683256 3350.032020 4044.885007 4874.922093
2025-03-23 1293.715602 1711.155626 2194.519741 2787.833968 3488.625658 4282.371085 5241.487358
2025-03-30 1209.660247 1645.963513 2160.540881 2802.198654 3570.704250 4451.678914 5527.689690
2025-04-06 1129.481293 1579.717181 2120.207461 2804.347566 3634.514415 4596.889531 5784.028571
2025-04-13 1016.979112 1466.226551 2016.084747 2723.442084 3593.857016 4614.918473 5887.619948
2025-04-20 992.857001 1463.287684 2047.153349 2806.950613 3751.128453 4867.913158 6269.992539
2025-04-27 953.014286 1437.232246 2046.969427 2849.875423 3857.671720 5059.722322 6579.828924
2025-05-04 897.038741 1386.649120 2012.771018 2847.617294 3906.556206 5180.640609 6803.950880
2025-05-11 835.538982 1326.421313 1964.624768 2826.901226 3932.727847 5275.318948 6999.205784
2025-05-18 799.139677 1298.688767 1957.596518 2858.071555 4023.815630 5450.084913 7293.436938
2025-05-25 751.792251 1253.032362 1924.479208 2853.283885 4067.688325 5565.496236 7514.524280
2025-06-01 725.192739 1235.253232 1927.599458 2895.180801 4170.853193 5754.812839 7827.606394
2025-06-08 676.572600 1183.085113 1881.593606 2869.744011 4185.369125 5831.814466 8000.584496
2025-06-15 661.050573 1178.563448 1900.583503 2931.072487 4312.805387 6051.747865 8353.130894
2025-06-22 631.146302 1150.980821 1886.079279 2945.964056 4378.641443 6193.275597 8607.615474
2025-06-29 599.095202 1118.473413 1863.201668 2948.191721 4426.874617 6311.909772 8833.322967
2025-07-06 542.849951 1045.629921 1779.909530 2864.309231 4357.970063 6277.993866 8863.806498
2025-07-13 540.282814 1057.039761 1818.628373 2950.890143 4518.579727 6541.908201 9275.852820
2025-07-20 525.779627 1048.568257 1827.664601 2995.384102 4622.325535 6732.348005 9594.746496